Excessive mortality - Statistics (2023)

Excessive mortality in the EU between January 20 and September 2022

In March 2020, the number of deaths was quickly increased.The highest tip of a number of deaths, Spain, followed by France, Belgium and the Netherlands.February 2021, the EU experienced two waves of excessive mortality: the first between March and May 2020 (an excess rate of 25.2% in April) and a second between August 2020 and the end of the year (a rate of 40% in November, in November,the highest rate for the whole year).In this second wave, excess mortality in all Member States increased, this time with a geographical prevalence in the eastern part of Europe (Poland, Bulgaria and Slovenia, a surplus of more than 90% in November 2020).

The excess mortality level reached a third height in April 2021.When the summer of 2021, the downward trend was reversed and the EU with the EU rate, which reached 26.5% in November and 23.6% in December 2021.

In the first quarter of 2022, the fourth wave of excess mortality weakened, whereby the general rate for values more than three times lower than the peak value of November 2021: 7.9% in January and 8.0% in February 2022, followed by 6.5%in March 201022 (see Figure 1).After an increase of less than 11.6% in April 2022, the EU surplus mortality rate returned to low values in the next two months, which are similar to the level registered at the beginning of the year: 7.6% in May and 8% in June.

In July 2022, the mortality rate in the EU rose to 16.5% of the average number for the same period 2016-2019 (it was 8.0% in June).Hubo around 60,000 additional deaths in July 2022. This is an unusually high value for this month: the excess mortality rate in July 2020 (10,000 excess deaths) and 5.6% in July 2021 (21,000 excess deaths).In August 2022, excess mortality was again compared to the last two years: 13.1% (47,000 additional deaths), compared to an excessive mortality rate of 7.7% in August 2020 (28,000 deaths from excess) and 9.1% in August2021 (33,000 deaths in the surplus).

According to the available information, part of the increase in mortality in July and August 2022 may be due to the same month of the past two years to heat waves that affected parts of Europe during the reference period.

In September 2022, excessive mortality in the EU took back over the previous month and was 9.3% of the average number for the same period 2016-2019 (it was 13.0% in August). Hubo around 30,000 additional deaths in September 2022.In the comparison, the excessive mortality rate in September 2020 was 8.1% (28,000 deaths) and 12.8% in September 2021 (44,000 deaths in excess).

According to weekly death statistics, around 1.6 million additional deaths were recorded in the countries of the EU between January 2020 and the end of September 2022, compared to the average number for the same period in 2016-2019 (seeWeekly death statistics - explained statistics).

The annual demographic credit published in July 2022 confirmed the results of the collection of special data of the weekly deaths.In 2020, the EU population went from 447.3 million to 447.0 million low. The withdrawal continued in 2021, with the population reaching 446.8 million on January 1, 2022.More detailed information aboutChange of populationIt is available in the respective article.
The excess annual mortality for the EU in 2020 was 11.9% higher than on average 2016-2019;In 2021 it was a higher, Estonia and Finland) reported the mortality rate below 5%, in contrast to this, Slovakia and Bulgaria reported the rates of almost 40%.The countries in which the most important improvements in the second year of pandemic in Belgium (from an annual excess mortality rate of 16.2% in 2020 were in 2020. to 3.0% in 2021) and Spain (out of 18, 0% in 2020 to 7.7% in2021).There were several member states in which the annual surplus rats rats rose around 2021 compared to 2020: Slovakia (from 10.7% to 37.6%), Bulgaria (14.6% to 37.7%), Latvia (from 1.5% to 21.8%) and Estonia (from 2.2% to 21.2%).

In order to evaluate the development of excess mortality from the beginning of the Covid 19 pandemic, the value of the indicator could be compared for the same period for the same period (with the exception of 2020, in which the period, which was considered as a pre-pandemiate, January, January, excluded, January and February).Therefore, the excess mortality from 9.2% from March to September 2020, 11.6% from January to September 2021 and 10.0% in January to September 2022 was.

The outbreak speakers vary greatly between Member States

The European countries were not affected in the same way or at the same time by the various excessive waves of deaths.Table 1 and then the monthly rates of excess mortality in 2020, 2021 and 2022. From the period 2016 to 2019, the extraordinary situation, which began in the first months of 2020, became at the other level. The first two months of the year contained lower values thanwho observed in previous years.Although mortality normally began to decrease in early March in 2020, the number of deaths in March rose from deaths in March.2022 Mortality compared to the average of the earlier period, but a new upward trend started at the end of August and rose in October, which reached 40%from 2020 in November.This second wave continued until January -February 2021 and was more geographically balanced than the first, with a greater excess mortality in the EU -Eastern regions.

During the initial phase of Covid 19 pandemic, the highest excessive mortality rates in the EU (80.8%), Belgium (73.1%) and the Netherlands (53.8%) were recorded in Spain.Four other countries had an increase of more than 35%in the number of deaths in April 2020, namely Italy (41.7%, although the highest increase already occurred 49.6%), Sweden (38.2%), Ireland (38.0%) and France (36.4%).However, several countries increased several countries in other months of the 2020s in August (24.4%), Cyprus in May (28.4%), Portugal in July (25.8%) in other months 2020: Malta, in thisCountries, a period from the beginning of the relatively stable summer (compared to the baseline 2016-2019) followed the high increase in spring mortality.Then there was a second increase in most Member States, even with the least affected springs in spring 2020.August, and in Schecks and Greece in September 2020. From September 2020, the increase was larger and widespread in November and reached new tips in November, with considerable installments in Poland (97.0 %), Bulgaria (94.0 %), Slovenia, Slovenia(91.3%), checks (75.8%), Romania (62.6%) and Hungary (59.2%).Countries with high values in spring 2020 again recorded high mortality rates in November 2020: Belgium (58.8%), Italy (51.6%), Austria (47.3%), Malta (40.2%), France (31, 3%) and Spain (24.4%).

In January and February 2021, a minor decline in excess mortality was observed in most countries, the trend continued at the end of 2020 the 2016-2019 reference period.Some countries had very high interest rates, with the surplus rates of more than 50% in Bulgaria (76.9% in April), Slovakia (74.9% in January), Poland (65.4% in April), check (62, 1 % in March) and Hungary (50.6 % in March), while others had no excess of death.In May, June and July 2021, the total number of deaths in the European Union decreased even more and reached a general rate of 5.6 % in July 2021, the lowest rate since July 2020. Between September and November 2021 the general rate rose toFourth time to 26.5% in November, the surplus of surpluses continued to be significantly significantly significantly significantly the EU member states in October and November 2021, while some Member States (Romania, Bulgaria, Croatia, Slovenia, Schecks, Hungary, Slovakia, Poland, Estonia, Latviaand lithuania) registered excess mortality rates), some other interest rates below 20 % or even inclined to a zero extraction rate (Table 1).In December 2021, excess mortality decreased slightly to 23.6%, but continued in all Member States in Sweden in Sweden in all Member States and 69.1% in Poland.

In the first part of 2022, the fourth wave weakened, but not in all EU member states.Although the general rate fell more than three times lower than in November 2021, some Member States registered the mortality rates, which are many times higher than the EU The deaths were very narrow for 2016-2019 or even below the national average.

In September 2022, a lower value than the national monthly average for 2016-19, while Latvia (4.6%), Slovenia (4.4%), were instructed in EU.1.8%), Slovenia (4.4%), Bulgaria (2.7%), Slovenia (4.4%), Bulgaria (2.7%).Hungary (2.3%) and Luxembourg (1.5%(1.5%) had excess mortality rates of less than half of the EU average. On the contrary, the highest rates were in Finland (17.2%) and Greece(16.9%). Another country with a rate of more than 15%was Estonia (15.7%).

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The data for the past few months have been temporary and are subject to the review.This article and the related table are updated monthly.

Origin data for tables and illustrations

Surplus data

Data sources

The indicator of excess mortality that covers the EU and AELC countries is based on data from weekly deaths that the member states voluntarily transmit according to Eurostat over the last weeks of mortality statistics.These weekly data is attributed to months to calculate the excessive mortality indicator.On the effects of the excess mortality indicator, the death figures, the death figures for the past few weeks in a Member State in which they are corrected, they are corrected for incompleteness.Data for 2021 are still temporary and are checked with the next versions.

Thirty -thirty countries offer weekly mortality data: Belgium, Bulgaria, Check, Denmark, Germany, Estonia, Ireland, Greece, Spain, France, Croatia, Italy, Cyprus, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Hungary, Malta, Netherlands, Austria, Austria, Austria,,, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovenia, Slovakia, Finland, Sweden, Iceland, Liechtenstein, Norway and Switzerland.The data received by candidates and neighboring countries are not available in this article.

The Ireland data was not included in the first phase of excess mortality approval options for obtaining updated mortality data.At the end of April 2021, CSO began publishing a series of time from October 2019 to the last few weeks using death warnings (seeCSO -Website).To the effects of this start, Eurostat compares the new series with Web Song 2020-2021 with a baseline created with official data 2016-2019.CSO regularly evaluates the quality of this data.

context

Covid-19 pandaemia has caused enormous interest in statistics.Therefore, in April 2020 in cooperation with the national statistical institutes of the European Statistical System, a special collection of data on weekly deaths set up to support the efforts of politics and research in connection with Pandemia.National statistical institutes regularly and voluntarily transfer the data to Eurostat until the last week is available.

"Excess mortality" was identified as the most useful indicators of the evaluation of additional deaths and the other indicators contained in the European statistical restoration authority were supplemented.In order to capture the dynamics of the mortality changes in more stable every month, at the latest 45 days after the end of the reference period (depending on the data for Eurostat of the national statistical institutes) companies.Statistics on excess deaths provide information on the burden of mortality that may be related to the Pann, EMI Covid-19, which not only properly informed the deaths that are attributed directly to the virus, but also to those who are properly informed, as well as deaths based on othersCauses that can be attributed to the general crisis situation.Blockation period.